Let me start out by saying this. I love what the Nats are doing in terms of drafting and developing players. I love the enthusiasm that they are trying to surround this team with and I truly think we are on the way to being competitive.
With that being said, what is going to be the biggest difference between this year and next year for us? Mainly, how are we going to improve vastly from where we are now to where we want to be? As we all know, our pitching was not the problem this year. We are currently tied for 5th in the National League with a team ERA of 3.64. That is out-effing-standing, especially since, for the most part, we just kind of slapped together a starting pitching staff. Hopefully with the emergence of a dominant Strasburg and Wang that ERA can be lowered even more next year. A starting 4 of Strasburg, Zimmermann, Lannan and Wang (at least if he can repeat what he has done this year) makes Natsball VERY excited. And I only usually get that excited when its pasta night! But how much improvement on the mound is reasonable to expect, and like I said before, the pitching staff is not the problem. They are doing everything that they are being asked to do and more. If we can duplicate this year's success next year, I don't think anyone would complain. But facts are that "on paper," next years staff should be a pretty decent improvement over this one, even if that improvement is just Strasburg alone.
But we all know what the problem is; runs. But what adjustments are going to be made to fix that problem? Players are for the most part, who they are. Sure guys can develop and improve and work on things. But for the most part, you aren't going to see a .230 slap hitter turn into a .320 power hitter over the course of a year and become the lynchpin for your offense.
Our team batting average currently resides as the 14th worst in the NL (out of 16.) I understand that offense is not always the answer to winning baseball games, as evidenced by the Atlanta Braves who are only batting 4 points better than us as a team (12th in the NL), have a slightly lower team ERA at 3.34, yet still have 17 more wins than us. On paper we aren't THAT far away from them, yet where it counts, in the standings, we have no shot.
Unfortunately, I am not sure what the answer is for Nationals. I do know however that it starts with an expectation of winning....that and being able to score runs.
With that being said, I wanted to take a look at our offensive players and see where we are, and what possibly we can expect next year.
C-Ramos
As a rookie, Ramos had a pretty solid year for a catcher. He is currently batting .248 with 12 bombs. Offensively, that is a pretty impressive campaign for a rookie catcher, especially when compared with the best offensive catcher in the league, Brian McCann .286/22 HR's. You also must consider that at the beginning of the season he split a lot of time with Pudge, and it took awhile before he even became the everyday starter. One has to think that next year, with more playing time, and another year to adjust to major league hitting, that he could be a real force for the Nats.
2B-Espinosa
Even though he is a rookie and played one hell of a defensive 2nd base for us this year, he is a much better hitter than his .229 average shows. His career average in the minors resided more about the .270 range. If he can pick that average up and continue to show the power numbers he displayed this year (19) he would quickly climb the ranks as one of the best NL 2nd baseman. And one would assume, that he is only going to get better with time.
SS-Desmond
Next year will mark the beginning of his 3rd full major league season. And so far, I think what you see is what you get with him. He had a decent first full season when he batted .269 with 10 bombs, but has fallen off a bit this year while only batting .241. What can we expect from him? Hopefully next year he will start to figure things out a bit better and start showing us his true colors. My guess though is that somewhere in .250 range with 6-8 bombs per year is what to expect.
1B/LF- Morse
The undisputed MVP of our team this year. He finally got his first full year of playing every day and is just going nuts offensively. All the signs are there that he is a true legit major league hitter and is here to stay, but can he repeat what he did this year? (.317/24 HR's) I'm pessimistic that he can, but man, this year has been one hell of a show. Hopefully he can come in around the same numbers but even a drop in average while maintaining his power numbers would still be a welcomed addition.
1B-LaRoche
Unfortunately we still have him. And even more unfortunate is the fact that we probably have to play him to get his trade value up. Hopefully he is only here temporarily, we can trade him, move Morse back to 1B and move Harper to LF. Career averages .267/26 bombs. Also, again....I don't care about how good of a fielder he is. Put a grizzly bear out at 1B if he can mash. That's what First baseman are supposed to do...mash. Its the easiest defensive position.
Can you catch?
Yes?
Can you run?
No?
.......
.......Do you drop bombs?
Yes!
Man, have we got a position for you.
3B-Zimmerman
What else is there to say? He's a stud and a top 3b in the league when healthy. The key is for him to stay healthy.
RF-Werth
As we all know, we gave him a lot of money. And along with that money came expectations. To say that he has struggled his first year in Washington is an understatement. He put up STUPID numbers in Philly, but the argument is that he was buried in a line-up of talented hitters and was an after-thought when pitchers prepared to face the team. He is now a big name here in Washington. It would be nice if he could regain some of the form that made him a rich man. I think he is a better offensive player than he has shown this year (.230/16 HRs) but not quite the player he was in Philly (.283/24 HRs). .270 with 20 bombs would be a nice addition.
LF-Harper?
Man, that would be exciting. Granted Nix did a great job for us this year and I sincerely hope we keep him around, but its hard not to think about pulling Harper up and getting pumped about it.
As for CF, who really knows what is going to happen. Ankiel did an OK job this year, as well as Bernadina, but it is no secret that Rizzo wants a CF'r that can lead off, and he wanted them yesterday.
After looking through our offense, I think one thing is pretty clear. We do have young players who have room for improvement, and not a bunch of dinosaurs who have hit their ceiling; this, I've decided, is a positive.
But more than anything, we need to find a way to score runs. We are second to last in runs scored this year, only ahead of San Fran. That's not good. Even with the Giants pitching staff, which is ridiculous, they can't win games with only scoring that many runs a game.
Hopefully our rookies will start to come into their own next year, and guys who are counted on to produce will do so. Until then, here's to 2012...and if we suck next year....2013!
LETS GO NATS!